Here we are on April 20, having just finished a six-game losing streak. The Royals are now 4-11, the only AL Central team under .500 and six games back of Minnesota, with an elimination number of 142. At this rate, the Royals will be mathematically eliminated from the pennant race on August 10. Further updates to come.
EDIT: I inadvertently double-counted the already-played games; the actual expected elimination date is August 26. It's still before Labor Day.